← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Swabey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.63 |
| Shrewsbury win | 19% | 5.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth +0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Shrewsbury +0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Sean Raggett · Portsmouth |
| 45' | ⚽ | Abu Kamara · Portsmouth |
| 62' | ⚽ | Marlon Pack · Portsmouth |
| 72' | 🟨 | Joe Morrell · Portsmouth |
| 84' | ⚽ | Abu Kamara · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 1140.00 | 349.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1396.92 | 1604.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.89 | 6.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 27.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.45 | 0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.62 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |