← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Edwards
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Fleetwood Town win | 29% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Fleetwood Town −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Danny Mayor · Fleetwood Town |
| 27' | ⚽ | Mitchell Pinnock · Northampton |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Sam Hoskins · Northampton |
| 49' | 🟨 | Kieron Bowie · Northampton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mitchell Pinnock · Northampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days | 1041.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1433.42 | 1382.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.32 | -5.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| league points | 23.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 10.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.53 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.43 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | -1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |