← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 70% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.06 |
| Carlisle win | 11% | 9.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle −1.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Blackpool −1.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.77 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Ben Barclay · Carlisle |
| 22' | ⚽ | Andy Lyons · Blackpool |
| 43' | 🟨 | Dylan McGeouch · Carlisle |
| 67' | ⚽ | Jordan Rhodes · Blackpool |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jack Robinson · Carlisle |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jordan Rhodes · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 222.00 | 676.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1506.08 | 1356.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.03 | -20.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| league points | 30.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 10.80 | 10.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | -1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -1.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |