← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Nov 28, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Breakspear
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Carlisle win | 22% | 4.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Carlisle −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ (og) | Samuel Lavelle · Reading |
| 29' | ⚽ | Luke Plange · Carlisle |
| 32' | ⚽ | Harvey Knibbs · Reading |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jack Armer · Carlisle |
| 39' | ⚽ | Harvey Knibbs · Reading |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jeriel Dorsett · Reading |
| 78' | ⚽ | Lewis Wing · Reading |
| 83' | ⚽ | Femi Azeez · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 180.00 | 665.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1413.61 | 1370.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.79 | -10.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 65.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.73 |
| league points | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 31.41 | — |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |