← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Nov 28, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Rock
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Lincoln win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Lincoln +0 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Gassan Ahadme · Cambridge |
| 15' | 🟨 | Jordan Cousins · Cambridge |
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Daniel Mandroiu · Lincoln |
| 32' | ⚽ | Dylan Duffy · Lincoln |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jack Vale · Lincoln |
| 85' | ⚽ | Jack Vale · Lincoln |
| 88' | 🟨 | Alex Mitchell · Lincoln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cambridge | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| venue | Abbey Stadium |
| coach days | 1427.00 | 27.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1376.80 | 1478.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.93 | -20.13 |
| eye test v1 | -1.10 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.77 |
| league points | 20.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.32 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |