β EFL League One 2023-24 Β· Sat, Nov 25, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: C. Hicks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Reading win | 28% | 3.48 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading β0.5 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Wycombe β0.5 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | π¨ | Harry Boyes Β· Wycombe |
| 30' | β½ | Sam Smith Β· Reading |
| 32' | β½ | Killian Phillips Β· Wycombe |
| 41' | β½ | Lewis Wing Β· Reading |
| 90' | π¨ | David Wheeler Β· Wycombe |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 297.00 | 177.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1479.19 | 1399.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.17 | -44.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.66 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.80 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | β |
| league points | 22.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | β | 31.41 |
| state index | -0.57 | -1.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | -1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |