← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Nov 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Tallis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Shrewsbury win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Shrewsbury +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Max Mata · Shrewsbury |
| 43' | 🟨 | Carl Winchester · Shrewsbury |
| 45' | 🟨 | Taylor Perry · Shrewsbury |
| 45' | 🟨 | Funso Ojo · Port Vale |
| 48' | ⚽ | Daniel Udoh · Shrewsbury |
| 56' | 🟨 | Elliott Bennett · Shrewsbury |
| 57' | ⚽ | Ben Garrity · Port Vale |
| 81' | 🟨 | Joseph Anderson · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 22 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 14 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 1119.00 | 238.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1373.52 | 1364.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.33 | -16.69 |
| eye test v1 | -1.28 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.13 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |