← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Nov 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Cambridge win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge −0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Northampton −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | James Brophy · Cambridge |
| 42' | 🟨 | Shaun McWilliams · Northampton |
| 49' | ⚽ | Kieron Bowie · Northampton |
| 55' | ⚽ | Sam Hoskins · Northampton |
| 77' | ⚽ | Gassan Ahadme · Cambridge |
| 79' | 🟨 | Paul Digby · Cambridge |
| 80' | 🟨 | Paul Digby · Cambridge |
| 80' | 🟥 | Paul Digby · Cambridge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Danny Andrew · Cambridge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days | 1027.00 | 1424.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1426.35 | 1383.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.46 | -0.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -1.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 64.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.53 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | -1.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |