← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Nov 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Joyce
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Lincoln win | 30% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Lincoln +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ (pen) | Daniel Mandroiu · Lincoln |
| 68' | ⚽ | Barry Cotter · Barnsley |
| 72' | ⚽ | John McAtee · Barnsley |
| 88' | ⚽ | Timothy Eyoma · Lincoln |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jack Vale · Lincoln |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jamie McCart · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lincoln | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | LNER Stadium |
| coach days | 24.00 | 542.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1477.68 | 1552.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.69 | -8.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.69 |
| league points | 26.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |