← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Nov 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Edwards
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury win | 39% | 2.53 |
| Reading win | 33% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Shrewsbury −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Reading |
| 15' | 🟨 | Marko Maroši · Shrewsbury |
| 15' | ⚽ | Dominic Ballard · Reading |
| 33' | ⚽ | Tom Bayliss · Shrewsbury |
| 69' | 🟨 | David Button · Reading |
| 78' | 🟨 | Sam Hutchinson · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jason Sraha · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | ⚽ | Chey Dunkley · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jason Sraha · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 1105.00 | 163.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1375.03 | 1409.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.05 | -44.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.57 |
| league points | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.33 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | — | 31.41 |
| state index | -0.76 | -1.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | -0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |