← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Nov 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Bourne
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Leyton Orient win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Leyton Orient +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Rúben Rodrigues · Oxford |
| 45' | ⚽ | Billy Bodin · Oxford |
| 46' | ⚽ | Rúben Rodrigues · Oxford |
| 48' | ⚽ (og) | Finley Stevens · Leyton Orient |
| 59' | 🟨 | Mark Harris · Oxford |
| 64' | ⚽ | Ruel Sotiriou · Leyton Orient |
| 66' | 🟨 | Elliott Moore · Oxford |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jordan Brown · Leyton Orient |
| 78' | 🟨 | Darren Pratley · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Brisbane Road |
| coach days | 620.00 | 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1439.72 | 1512.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.73 | 6.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 20.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 14.04 | 10.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |