← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Nov 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Exeter win | 29% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Exeter −0.25 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Ryan Broom · Fleetwood Town |
| 32' | ⚽ | Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu · Fleetwood Town |
| 42' | ⚽ | Phoenix Patterson · Fleetwood Town |
| 65' | 🟨 | Yanic Wildschut · Exeter |
| 66' | 🟨 | Promise Omochere · Fleetwood Town |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ryan Broom · Fleetwood Town |
| 75' | 🟨 | Cheick Diabaté · Exeter |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 11 |
| 12 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fleetwood Town | Exeter |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.15 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Highbury Stadium |
| coach days | 71.00 | 406.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 3.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1394.63 | 1401.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.54 | -42.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.61 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| league points | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 9.80 | 14.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.71 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |