β EFL League One 2023-24 Β· Tue, Oct 31, 07:45 PM UTC Β· ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
| Cambridge win | 20% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge β0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Wycombe β0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | π¨ | Danny Andrew Β· Cambridge |
| 62' | π¨ | Michael Morrison Β· Cambridge |
| 83' | π¨ | Jack Lankester Β· Cambridge |
| 90' | π¨ | Tjay De Barr Β· Wycombe |
| 90' | π¨ | Luke Leahy Β· Wycombe |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 272.00 | 1399.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1496.65 | 1387.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.96 | -6.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | -1.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 70.90 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| league points | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 3.24 | 3.24 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.72 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 1.80 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |