← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Oct 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Middleton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Shrewsbury win | 27% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Shrewsbury −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟥 | Chey Dunkley · Shrewsbury |
| 15' | 🟨 | Jason Sraha · Shrewsbury |
| 35' | ⚽ | Stephen Humphrys · Wigan |
| 66' | ⚽ | Callum Lang · Wigan |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Stones · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | DW Stadium |
| coach days | 300.00 | 1091.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1501.98 | 1392.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.61 | 8.28 |
| eye test v1 | -1.18 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 63.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.92 | -1.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.40 | — |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -1.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |