← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Oct 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Stockbridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
| Wycombe win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Wycombe −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Marcus McGuane · Oxford |
| 25' | ⚽ | Rúben Rodrigues · Oxford |
| 34' | 🟨 | Freddie Potts · Wycombe |
| 36' | 🟨 | Joe Low · Wycombe |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Luke Leahy · Wycombe |
| 64' | 🟨 | Dale Taylor · Wycombe |
| 77' | 🟨 | Sam Long · Oxford |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Luke Leahy · Wycombe |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jasper Pattenden · Wycombe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Elliott Moore · Oxford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luke Leahy · Wycombe |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.61 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 241.00 | 269.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1496.91 | 1494.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.03 | 5.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.75 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 66.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| league points | 28.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.15 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 8.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | -1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |