← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Oct 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Purkiss
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Carlisle win | 30% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Cambridge −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Jack Lankester · Cambridge |
| 37' | 🟨 | Ryan Bennett · Cambridge |
| 47' | 🟨 | Jack Armer · Carlisle |
| 73' | ⚽ | George Thomas · Cambridge |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jack Armer · Carlisle |
| 83' | 🟥 | Jack Armer · Carlisle |
| 90' | 🟥 | Alfie McCalmont · Carlisle |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cambridge | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Abbey Stadium |
| coach days | 1396.00 | 634.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1379.17 | 1387.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.40 | 24.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| state index | -1.17 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |