← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Oct 24, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Bolton win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe +0 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Bolton +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Edmond-Paris Maghoma · Bolton |
| 36' | ⚽ | George Thomason · Bolton |
| 41' | 🟨 | Edmond-Paris Maghoma · Bolton |
| 43' | 🟨 | Josh Scowen · Wycombe |
| 48' | ⚽ | Luke Leahy · Wycombe |
| 82' | ⚽ | David Wheeler · Wycombe |
| 85' | ⚽ | Eoin Toal · Bolton |
| 88' | 🟨 | Richard Keogh · Wycombe |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Aaron Morley · Bolton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joe Low · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 265.00 | 1210.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1510.44 | 1557.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.21 | -9.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.60 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.32 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |