← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Oct 24, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Rock
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 42% | 2.27 |
| Wigan win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Oxford +0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Stephen Humphrys · Wigan |
| 20' | 🟨 | Babajide Adeeko · Wigan |
| 60' | 🟨 | Liam Shaw · Wigan |
| 79' | 🟨 | Alex Gorrin · Oxford |
| 80' | ⚽ | Callum Lang · Wigan |
| 82' | 🟨 | James Beadle · Oxford |
| 84' | 🟨 | Callum Lang · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | DW Stadium |
| coach days | 296.00 | 237.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1488.63 | 1510.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.87 | 45.58 |
| eye test v1 | -1.43 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| league points | 16.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.40 | — |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |