← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Oct 24, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Mather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Shrewsbury win | 19% | 5.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Barnsley −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Chey Dunkley · Shrewsbury |
| 14' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · Barnsley |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Herbie Kane · Barnsley |
| 23' | ⚽ | Callum Styles · Barnsley |
| 75' | ⚽ | Devante Cole · Barnsley |
| 80' | 🟨 | Tom Flanagan · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 510.00 | 1087.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1566.93 | 1399.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.86 | 16.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 23.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 62.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -2.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -1.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |