← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Oct 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 47% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
| Blackpool win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Oxford −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Tashan Oakley-Boothe · Blackpool |
| 36' | ⚽ | Greg Leigh · Oxford |
| 48' | 🟨 | Kenneth Dougall · Blackpool |
| 76' | 🟨 | Owen Dale · Blackpool |
| 90' | 🟨 | James Husband · Blackpool |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan Rhodes · Blackpool |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jordan Rhodes · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 234.00 | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1512.39 | 1497.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 65.26 | 27.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| league points | 27.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 14.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.45 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| state index | 1.06 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |