← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Oct 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Atkinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter win | 45% | 2.11 |
| Wigan win | 27% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Wigan −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Martial Godo · Wigan |
| 26' | 🟨 | Tom Pearce · Wigan |
| 32' | 🟨 | Vincent Harper · Exeter |
| 45' | 🟨 | Zak Jules · Exeter |
| 56' | 🟨 | Martial Godo · Wigan |
| 82' | 🟨 | Caleb Watts · Exeter |
| 90' | 🟨 | Reece Cole · Exeter |
| 90' | 🟨 | Scott Smith · Wigan |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jordan Jones · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 30 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 17 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.20 |
| venue | St James Park |
| coach days | 385.00 | 293.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1422.71 | 1473.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -49.93 | -44.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| squad age | — | 27.40 |
| state index | -0.98 | -0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | 1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |