← EFL League One 2023-24 · Tue, Oct 3, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: C. Breakspear
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.21 |
| Shrewsbury win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −1 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Shrewsbury −1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Finley Stevens · Oxford |
| 47' | 🟨 | Joseph Anderson · Shrewsbury |
| 58' | 🟨 | Joseph Anderson · Shrewsbury |
| 58' | 🟥 | Joseph Anderson · Shrewsbury |
| 59' | ⚽ | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 71' | 🟨 | Greg Leigh · Oxford |
| 80' | 🟨 | Tyler Goodrham · Oxford |
| 88' | 🟨 | Josh McEachran · Oxford |
| 90' | ⚽ | Greg Leigh · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 216.00 | 1066.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1496.39 | 1384.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.02 | -28.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.33 | 59.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.81 |
| league points | 21.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 60.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | — |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -1.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.67 | 3.57 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |