← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Sep 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Leyton Orient win | 25% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Exeter −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Theodore Archibald · Leyton Orient |
| 48' | ⚽ | Demetri Mitchell · Exeter |
| 55' | ⚽ | Joe Pigott · Leyton Orient |
| 59' | 🟨 | Darren Pratley · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Reece Cole · Exeter |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mitch Beardmore · Exeter |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pedro Borges · Exeter |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ruel Sotiriou · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ruel Sotiriou · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 19 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | St James Park |
| coach days | 343.00 | 557.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1486.70 | 1397.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.20 | -26.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.92 | 0.69 |
| league points | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | — |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |