← EFL League One 2023-24 · Sat, Aug 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 41% | 2.33 |
| Derby win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Peterboro −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Jonson Clarke-Harris · Peterboro |
| 29' | ⚽ | Martyn Waghorn · Derby |
| 37' | ⚽ | Eiran Joe Cashin · Derby |
| 39' | 🟨 | Harrison Burrows · Peterboro |
| 39' | ⚽ | Martyn Waghorn · Derby |
| 45' | ⚽ | Martyn Waghorn · Derby |
| 67' | 🟨 | Peter Kioso · Peterboro |
| 86' | 🟨 | Craig Forsyth · Derby |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kwame Poku · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 4 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| coach days | 237.00 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| 359.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1568.90 | 1529.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.56 | -12.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.00 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| league points | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.50 | 69.25 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.75 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.75 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.60 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |