← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R Shoebridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 70% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.00 |
| Southend win | 11% | 9.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 8 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southampton | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 311.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1608.84 | 1384.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.09 | -4.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| league points | 80.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 8.60 |
| state index | 0.77 | -0.72 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |