← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Swindon win | 27% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Swindon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 919.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.82 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1596.79 | 1566.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.92 | -24.44 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| league points | 82.00 | 82.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.80 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |