← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D McDermid
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Hartlepool win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brentford | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1507.10 | 1422.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.91 | -2.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 61.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.60 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.45 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |