← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Woolmer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon win | 61% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Brentford win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1559.78 | 1514.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.94 | 17.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| league points | 79.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.80 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |