← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D Foster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Walsall win | 27% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carlisle | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 544.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1439.54 | 1454.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.28 | 26.64 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 54.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.40 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.20 |
| state index | -0.85 | -0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |