← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D Phillips
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Exeter win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 1393.00 | 1240.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1437.52 | 1534.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.54 | 8.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 46.00 | 77.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 9.60 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |