β EFL League One 2009-10 Β· Sat, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: P Crossley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Colchester win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Tranmere win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colchester | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 570.00 | β |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1485.72 | 1415.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.30 | -30.79 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 68.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.60 |
| state index | -0.58 | -1.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |