← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Sarginson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Bristol Rvs win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 2 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brighton | Bristol Rvs |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1474.46 | 1470.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.61 | -33.46 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| league points | 52.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 8.80 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.86 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |