← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S Cook
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon win | 65% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.20 |
| Walsall win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 8 |
| 3 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.09 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1566.82 | 1437.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.58 | -0.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| league points | 77.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 8.80 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.66 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |