← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Wiley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 52% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Gillingham win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gillingham | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| coach days | — | 502.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1409.47 | 1598.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.48 | -4.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 44.00 | 80.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.00 |
| state index | -0.51 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |