β EFL League One 2009-10 Β· Sat, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D McDermid
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Oldham win | 28% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carlisle | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 530.00 | 4823.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1456.26 | 1423.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 54.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.60 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |