← EFL League One 2009-10 · Tue, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Russell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 51% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Yeovil win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Yeovil | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| coach days | — | 894.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1421.61 | 1628.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.97 | 33.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| league points | 48.00 | 78.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 15.80 |
| state index | -0.53 | 1.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |