← EFL League One 2009-10 · Tue, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Halsey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Carlisle win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carlisle | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 526.00 | 498.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1468.80 | 1586.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.25 | -35.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 54.00 | 77.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.00 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |