← EFL League One 2009-10 · Tue, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Crossley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Bristol Rvs win | 30% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 11 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol Rvs | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| coach days | — | 286.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.75 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1486.43 | 1602.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.96 | 31.57 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| league points | 61.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 12.20 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.76 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |