← EFL League One 2009-10 · Mon, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N Swarbrick
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon win | 65% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| Exeter win | 13% | 7.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 4 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Exeter |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| coach days | — | 1381.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.90 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1571.68 | 1446.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.10 | 25.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| league points | 76.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.20 |
| state index | 0.50 | -0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |