β EFL League One 2009-10 Β· Sat, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: G Hegley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Charlton win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southampton | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 283.00 | 1226.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1595.87 | 1543.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.77 | 0.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 67.00 | 74.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.00 |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.05 |
| travel km | β | 118.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |