← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Haywood
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 67% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.75 |
| Gillingham win | 12% | 8.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 12 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 891.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1621.71 | 1416.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.32 | 11.76 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 75.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 8.80 |
| state index | 1.29 | -0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |