← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E Ilderton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 66% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Southend win | 12% | 8.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 10 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 495.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1580.72 | 1388.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.94 | -4.47 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 74.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.20 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.88 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |