← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Penn
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Colchester win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Swindon win | 36% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 7 | Fouls | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colchester | Swindon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 556.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 3.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1489.61 | 1591.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.17 | 51.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| league points | 65.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.00 |
| state index | -0.95 | 1.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |