β EFL League One 2009-10 Β· Mon, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: O Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon win | 62% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 |
| Tranmere win | 14% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 2 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.78 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1582.72 | 1446.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.66 | -2.99 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| league points | 73.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| state index | 0.77 | -0.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |