← EFL League One 2009-10 · Mon, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A D'Urso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Colchester win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colchester | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 551.00 | 886.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 9.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1498.03 | 1613.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.36 | 43.95 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 65.00 | 72.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 15.20 |
| state index | -0.75 | 1.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |