← EFL League One 2009-10 · Mon, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Carlisle win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 4 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 1221.00 | 518.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1537.67 | 1462.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.11 | 22.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 71.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 11.40 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |