← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Russell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Swindon win | 21% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Swindon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 488.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 3.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1595.64 | 1560.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.17 | 21.53 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| league points | 71.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.20 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |