← EFL League One 2009-10 · Fri, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Taylor
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Brentford win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 9 |
| 14 | On target | 6 |
| 15 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 883.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1618.11 | 1495.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.25 | 10.82 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 71.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 8.40 |
| state index | 1.42 | -0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |