← EFL League One 2009-10 · Fri, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Gibbs
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter win | 36% | 2.60 |
| Colchester win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 1371.00 | 548.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1430.98 | 1514.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.70 | -34.58 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 40.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 5.96 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 10.00 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.63 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |