β EFL League One 2009-10 Β· Sat, Mar 27, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: P Miller
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 70% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.00 |
| Stockport win | 10% | 11.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 11 |
| 12 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 877.00 | β |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1613.63 | 1313.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.09 | -26.82 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| league points | 68.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 0.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.80 |
| state index | 1.26 | -1.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |